Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 81082.998136 85588.316452 90094.189615 94935.601533 99987.166230 105099.353370 110660.751442
2026-01-18 73600.629652 80460.423764 87513.125509 95296.467307 103635.462967 112291.936791 121947.486921
2026-01-25 68202.993284 76665.469883 85557.839991 95578.829604 106537.243855 118136.486977 131321.950515
2026-02-01 63773.594890 73397.154416 83697.227917 95509.148393 108646.857506 122776.972906 139089.410094
2026-02-08 60675.838901 71280.678494 82813.398822 96239.256529 111389.917162 127907.631824 147226.343429
2026-02-15 57570.033848 68917.499309 81438.837560 96215.876057 113110.532456 131754.963072 153815.592641
2026-02-22 55688.664601 67800.027442 81339.280720 97512.433617 116217.775366 137082.084613 162021.033414
2026-03-01 53775.167831 66519.436868 80941.291725 98364.826179 118733.399815 141678.363852 169361.564726
2026-03-08 51522.437455 64722.206792 79836.833364 98297.065455 120099.881966 144892.512563 175070.925855
2026-03-15 49688.618787 63330.409542 79125.182708 98613.164404 121850.228958 148504.811876 181215.660513
2026-03-22 48672.146905 62862.147609 79458.291071 100124.633933 124979.751896 153714.489312 189237.171083
2026-03-29 47549.929713 62207.617754 79519.088439 101268.636413 127643.623394 158364.803254 196609.224853
2026-04-05 46230.136533 61274.494951 79219.051310 101966.638568 129781.554116 162423.462377 203342.541781
2026-04-12 44717.228938 60046.242667 78511.252608 102127.428873 131242.085697 165662.290664 209106.285042
2026-04-19 43343.710052 58940.917268 77908.614751 102375.983124 132778.000383 168974.416785 214958.464496
2026-04-26 41893.891857 57686.061269 77072.313972 102290.940172 133868.907883 171725.370542 220124.261738
2026-05-03 40930.468828 57018.681305 76941.463864 103060.457068 135998.902830 175737.008614 226837.406735
2026-05-10 39658.104386 55906.873969 76208.382449 103035.149740 137110.334762 178483.333483 231998.066328
2026-05-17 39079.223643 55679.491526 76585.519326 104405.963322 139969.221091 183393.437072 239851.538398
2026-05-24 38327.289739 55195.694832 76609.577129 105307.128711 142225.752375 187559.023918 246801.655911
2026-05-31 37197.103256 54171.818345 75901.060446 105235.484458 143223.531971 190142.226740 251781.746106
2026-06-07 36290.509389 53420.225302 75522.788646 105569.661882 144724.459234 193350.674022 257552.401737
2026-06-14 35944.299877 53414.937587 76116.374970 107167.433081 147853.969163 198626.593344 265955.107463